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Can We Predict First-time Failure on the Podiatric Boards Using an Admission Screen?

David Molnar Paul & Margaret Brand Research Center at Barry University School of Podiatric Medicine, Miami Shores, FL.

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Jeffrey Jensen Paul & Margaret Brand Research Center at Barry University School of Podiatric Medicine, Miami Shores, FL.

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Larissa Rolim Paul & Margaret Brand Research Center at Barry University School of Podiatric Medicine, Miami Shores, FL.

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Background:

This study examined the success of an admission screen in identifying applicants who will fail Part I or Part II of the Podiatric Boards on the first attempt.

Methods:

A logistic regression model was used to predict failure on the Podiatric Boards.

Results:

The biology Medical College Admission Test (MCAT) score predicted failure on Part I and Part II. Adding undergraduate grade point average and the other MCAT subscores did not significantly improve the prediction. Although a screen based on the biology MCAT score can identify nearly 90% of those who fail, there are six false-positives for every true-positive.

Conclusions:

First-time Board failure can be predicted, but Board failure must be primarily addressed by interventions after matriculation rather than by an admission screen. (J Am Podiatr Med Assoc 102(6): 485–490, 2012)

Corresponding author: David Molnar, PhD, Paul & Margaret Brand Research Center at Barry University School of Podiatric Medicine, 11300 NE 2nd Ave, Miami Shores, FL 33161. (E-mail: dmolnar@mail.barry.edu)